David Davis the minister for Brexit says to keep quiet about the Brexit strategy. Cards close to chest etc. How do you keep it a secret? As soon as talks begin it will become apparent unless it’s fiendishly clever, which seems unlikely. Although it could be that the secret plan masks that there is no plan and we’re flying by the seat of our pants.
The UK red line is that immigration will be restricted to skilled people who have got a job in the UK. Although fruit pickers and students will surely be allowed.
The EU red line is it’s an open market with 4 freedoms or nothing. Although there are things the EU will want to sell to us such as German cars and French wine.
It seems almost certain to become a fragmented discussion swapping cars for agriculture, fishing for wine. Each of these needing agreement of the people of Wallonia and the other sub-regions of Belgium. The UK has Ireland and Malta on its side though so the world is our oyster.
As the pound is now almost equal to a Euro imports of German cars are likely to decrease as price increases kick in. Perhaps the Germans will worry about that although to them the EU is a principle above trade, we’re told.
It sounds easier to just leave immediately and fall back on World Trade Agreements. Although such a move will need emergency action by governments all over Europe to prevent goods and food piling up at docks and the freezing of money flows. It would be branded totally irresponsible.
So there we have it, a secret plan, an entrenched position and the crazy gang. Nothing can go wrong.